Last Updated: Tuesday, 24 June 2025 13:53
Jackpots in an Australian online casino in 2025
Have you noticed that players from Sweden tend to win the progressive jackpots more frequently than others? But why? After all, Sweden is not the largest country. Let's try understanding this phenomenal luck. Is it possible that the provider's software is "tweaked" in favour of its countrymen?
Progressive jackpots in online casinos
Let's start with the technical part. How are the significant amounts of the progressive jackpots formed, and how do casinos pay out such a payment (million AUD)? Why are casinos happy when punters hit the jackpot on their websites?
How are the payments formed?
At the pokies with progressive jackpots, a small percentage of each bet is added to the jackpot fund.
- For example, in the Hall of Gods pokie, the RTP (return to player percentage) is 95.5%, which is below the usual range of 96-98%. It is precisely the difference, and it is collected for progressive jackpots. Therefore, when a player bets €100, the jackpot will increase by € 1.50.
- Another example is the sensational Mega Fortune pokie, which entered the Guinness World Records for the largest online progressive jackpot payout. Here, RTP is 96.4%, and a progressive jackpot is charged from 0.6% to 1.6% of each bet.
Types of jackpots
There are two types of progressive jackpots:
- Local. They are formed for each online casino separately. This type grows very slowly, as it's collecting money only from one online casino.
- Global. These jackpots are mutual for all online casinos. All players who are playing at the current pokie contribute to the global fund.
The differences between them are: the casino owner itself pays local jackpots, but global is 90% paid by the provider and only 10% by an online casino.
Why are casinos happy when a player hits?
Punters who are hunting for progressives are extremely addicted to gambling. Imagine a player who wins a million and deposits it into their wallet without any problems or delay. What is the probability that he will continue playing at this casino with very high stakes? I think it is very high. The casino owner is pleased when players win the global progressives because the online casino pays only 10% of the jackpot, and there is a great chance that the entire amount of the jackpot will be lost in the same casino.
Why do Swedish players win more often than others?
Most of the providers are from Sweden. In 2017, their pokies were integrated into more than 2,000 online casinos worldwide. However, the majority of progressive jackpots are won by Swedish players. Don't you think it is strange? I think that it is.
The astronomical sums of progressive jackpots need additional attention. Perhaps the provider's software can trigger it only for the most loyal players who have lost a significant amount. Issuance of the jackpot must be completely random (as any other spin), but it is likely that winning of millions must be connected to the software owner.
Perhaps people who win the jackpot at an online casino must live in Sweden. Who knows...
The myth of a positive mathematical expectation when hunting a progressive jackpot
One day, I came across an article that at first glance seemed logical. It was called "Positive expectation of winning the progressive jackpot". The article's motto was to hunt for the progressive jackpot that has a positive mathematical expectation of winning. Somehow, no matter how much the punter has lost, when the jackpot is hit, the player's losses will be covered, and they may even win more. At that time, I had little experience playing at online casinos, and these arguments seemed very logical to me. Now I can say with confidence that this is nonsense.
Let's try to calculate. We have official data that in Arabian Nights pokie, the probability of hitting the progressive jackpot is 1 in 5,431,415. Let's suppose that the player is gambling via €5 per spin and has an unlimited budget. He will need to invest € 27,157,075 to win a progressive jackpot (statistically). The maximum winning in Arabian Nights was €8 million. About what advantage were they talking about?
Why is the chase pointless?
Catching progressive jackpots can be likened to lotteries, in which millions of players participate. To guarantee a win, you must buy all the lottery tickets. Even if another player buys one ticket, maybe you lose all your money. The same logic applies in the progressive pokie, with a significant number of players. Even if you have several islands for sale (you need only luck), getting involved in such ventures is risky.
Here are the main reasons why it is not necessary to sell the apartment in hopes of catching the jackpot
- To have a guaranteed jackpot winning, you must be the only player at this pokie.
- Online casinos should be honest, not just with "native" accounts.
- The only reliable and popular casino could pay such a vast amount (even 10% of 10 million is 1 million).
- You must be 100% certain that there is a technical possibility of winning the progressive jackpot.
- You must have an unlimited budget for betting.
- Ultimately, you will purchase all the tickets from the "lottery", but you will pay significantly more than the progressive jackpot fund.
Where to play?
- Fastpay casino pays money to payment systems and bank cards within a few minutes.
