Last Updated: Tuesday, 24 June 2025 08:13

How to win with the help of mathematics at pokies?

How to win at pokies with the help of mathematics
There are numerous strategies and tactics for playing in online casinos. The most interesting of them are collected on our website. However, I would now like to discuss something else. In my opinion, it is thanks to "the mathematical expectation of winning" and the law of large numbers that all casinos make a profit in the long run. The meaning is that if the RTP of the pokie is set on 96%, despite the short distance hits, at the very end (after the millions of spins), your loss will be exactly 3% of the total wagering on this pokie. There is nothing you can do with it, unless you choose to gamble at different casinos and open new accounts. 

Can the punter use the same weapon for its purposes? Is it possible to win in pokies with the help of mathematics? The answer to this question will be devoted to today's study. I recommend that you first read the article:

You can play in Australian casinos below:

LogoName BonusDetailsPlay for real
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Getting a positive mathematical expectation of winning

By choosing one of the Australian online casinos, you can get a "positive mathematical expectation of winning" by taking a bonus. We wrote about this in detail here, and now we will only highlight the main things:

  • Playing with an active bonus, which has wagering requirements of 35x, in pokies with an RTP (return to player percentage) of more than 97%, we can achieve a mathematical advantage (up to 1.72%) over the casino. It means that for every A$100 wagered, our theoretical profit will be A$1.72.
  • Playing with the bonus of 40x wagering, our advantage over the online casino will be up to 1.36%. In other words, with a higher wagering requirement, we will (statistically) win A$1.36 for every A$100 wagered.

This method (bonus hunting) does not violate the rules of trusted casinos, and it is "white". The main difficulty is that you need a lot of bonuses with low wagering. You can register in all trusted Australian online casinos. You will receive regular promotion offers, through which you can maximise the advantage from each deposit.

Nowadays, casinos know about this strategy and try to remove smart punters from their bonuses and promotions, calling them "bonus abusers". According to the terms and conditions of most casinos, any player can be removed from all the bonuses and promotions due to "bonus abuser" reasons. Pay attention to this fact if you're planning to get a mathematical advantage over pokies. 

Hidden data of pokies

Formulas
On our site, we placed the hidden data of each of the pokies. For example, the following information is available for Blood Suckers pokie:

  • The RTP (return to player percentage) is 98%. Of these, in the usual spins game is 52%, during "the free spins feature" is 12,9%, with winning from "2 scatter symbols" is 13%, from payments in "the pick and click" bonus 20,1%.
  • The probability of hitting any winning combination in the current spin (including the scatter symbols) is 46.4%. The win on any pay line is 42.9%. Any winning with the "scatter symbols" is 6.1%.
  • The probability of triggering "the free spins feature" is 0.5%.
  • The probability of triggering the bonus "pick and click" feature is 2.1%.
  • The maximum winning is 90,000 coins.
  • The length of the cycle in the pokie is short. It means that you will often win, but not much.
  • The variance of winning is very low.
  • Tester recommendations - positive.
  • The sensitivity to testing in the demo mode is high.
  • The RTP in 98% allows you to get a positive mathematical expectation of winning in the casino. It is this data that identifies whether it is possible to win in the pokie with the help of mathematics.
  • Recommended denominations of bets - in an increase of 10: A$0.1, A$1, A$10.
  • Learn more about how to win at Blood Suckers pokie

You can find similar information (where it is provided) for each of the pokies. Use these mathematical calculations to identify the proper value of stakes and increase the chances of big winning.

Recommendations from our testing team

Testing team results
Some everyday actions can be observed in pokies after a significant number of spins. It can be two scatter symbols in a row before triggering "the bonus features" or "wild symbols" at some specific positions. Sometimes you can find a bug with increased RTP data on exact stakes. It is difficult to say whether these observations can be called a mathematical way, but this experience gives you an advantage.

Examples of such observations may be found in the following pokies:

Tester recommendations

In every description of the pokie, there is a comment from the expert who tested it. These observations provide an additional advantage and will save you from wasting time and money on selecting the optimal bet for each of the pokies. Check the list of all casino pokies.

Conclusion

You need to understand that, ultimately, you are playing against other punters. The total prize pool of a particular pokie is distributed among several players, and the software retains its percentage of the profit, as determined by the pokie's RTP. A punter who uses effective tactics may make money more often. As for me, you should try combining several of the methods described above to increase the effect. Register your accounts only with reliable and trusted Australian online casinos, accessible via the link below. After all, you need not only to win money but also to get it into your wallet.

Best Australian casinos 2025

Written by Vladislav Dibrov
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